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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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30,214

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2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK?

Volume:
$1,123,190

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 3:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,283
N/A
N/A
$105,691
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK)

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fenerbahce

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$397,648
N/A
N/A
$272,179
Settled
No
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gaziantep

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$164,699
N/A
N/A
$102,259
Settled
No
polymarket

Gaziantep FK

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the September 14, 2026 Super Lig soccer match between Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe SK. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on official statistics from the Turkish Football Federation (TFF), with fallback to sources like Flashscore and Sofascore. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 14, 2026, as the first 90 minutes of play will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same 90+ minute match result and have consistent fallback data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body (TFF), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team resolves the corresponding win market to 'Yes' and the other win market to 'No'.
  • A draw resolves the draw market to 'Yes' and both win markets to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, the win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the conclusion of the match, or as soon as official data is available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 between Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe SK.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for September 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Gaziantep win, Fenerbahçe win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform procedures. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, incentivized by potential gains from accurate forecasts. This market, concerning the Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK match, may exhibit discrepancies with sportsbook lines, reflecting differing assessments of team performance, player injuries, and other relevant factors. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price inefficiencies between the two types of markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to variations in opinion and price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity and depth of the market on each platform can influence price movements. For example, a large trade on Polymarket might have a more significant impact on the price than the same trade on Kalshi if the latter has higher volume. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across both platforms.