TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$31,924

Gauthier Onclin

 - Kalshi

Gauthier Onclin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 11:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gauthier Onclin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,302
N/A
N/A
$8,253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fabian Marozsan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,622
N/A
N/A
$7,414
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

Two professional tennis players compete in the first set of their 2026 ATP Stuttgart Round of 32 match. The outcome depends on which player wins that set.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks build in vig and adjust lines to balance action, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of independent traders' beliefs. For the Onclin vs Marozsan Set 1 Winner event, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. These differences typically narrow closer to Jun 8, 2026 as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, the Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Set 1 Winner market is priced as binary contracts where each outcome trades between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the implied probability of that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts on their favored outcome and sell to lock in gains or cut losses. The bid-ask spread tightens as volume increases and the market approaches Jun 8, 2026, making it easier to enter and exit positions at fair prices. Contract prices directly represent what the market believes is the likelihood of each player winning the opening set.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026 following the completion of the first set in the Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan match. Resolution is determined by the official result recorded by the tournament or governing body overseeing the event. Once the set concludes and the outcome is confirmed, Kalshi settles all contracts accordingly, paying out holders of the winning outcome at full value and expiring losing contracts at zero. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or abandoned before the set concludes.

Several factors can shift odds for this Set 1 Winner market. Recent form and head-to-head records between Onclin and Marozsan influence trader confidence. Court surface, weather conditions, and venue details matter significantly in tennis. Injury reports or last-minute lineup changes can trigger sharp repricing. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates often moves the market as new information surfaces. As the match approaches Jun 8, 2026, warm-up results and player statements may sway sentiment. Real-time match action—early breaks, momentum swings, or tactical adjustments—will drive the most dramatic price moves once play begins.