TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on which fighter will achieve victory in a specific round of their upcoming match. The outcome depends on whether Gauge Young or Stanley Dorsainvil secures a win via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification in rounds one, two, or three.
The market resolves to Yes if either Gauge Young or Stanley Dorsainvil wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in the specified round (Round 1, Round 2, or Round 3). A technical decision is considered a decision and does not count as a win in any round. The fight must be the Gauge Young vs. Stanley Dorsainvil UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for Aug 22, 2026.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and house edges, prediction markets rely purely on user-driven pricing. This can lead to notable differences, especially when considering liquidity and trader positioning. The volume of $36,772 suggests moderate interest, but the absence of $36,096 in 24-hour volume indicates limited recent activity. Traders should weigh these dynamics when comparing outcomes to conventional sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact round in which the fight ends will set the result, and the market will close immediately after official announcement of the result.
Several key developments could influence this market before it resolves on Aug 23, 2026. Fighter injuries, changes in training camp performance, and pre-fight media events often shift trader expectations dramatically. Additionally, betting volume spikes following public polls or analyst predictions may create momentum swings. Any last-minute updates regarding fight strategy or health certifications could also cause rapid re-pricing. Monitoring Kalshi's trading activity will be crucial for identifying early signals of shifting sentiment.