TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the general method of victory for either fighter, including knockout, submission, decision, or a draw/no contest. It provides a broad view of how the fight might conclude without specifying which fighter achieves the outcome.
The market resolves to Yes if either Gauge Young or Stanley Dorsainvil wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision in the Gauge Young vs. Stanley Dorsainvil UFC Fight Night fight scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. The market also resolves to Yes if the fight ends in a Draw or No Contest.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $43,353, allowing for rapid shifts in perceived likelihood. Sportsbook odds incorporate additional factors such as broker margins and broader public betting patterns. While both aim to gauge the probability of outcomes, prediction markets often show more granular, volatile pricing due to direct trader engagement and lower overhead. For this market, differences can arise from the specific participant base and the event's unique dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the fight’s conclusion — including whether it ends by knockout, submission, decision, or other listed method — determines the result. Traders should watch for post-fight announcements and verified sources to confirm how the match officially ended.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and changes to the fighters’ strategies or conditions. Any announcement affecting the likelihood of a quick finish — such as a fighter’s recent performance or a trainer’s comments — may cause rapid price changes. Traders on Kalshi will also react to betting trends, with heavy volume potentially signaling shifting expectations about which finish method is most probable.