TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Gasparovic David and Heinzl Lukas in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for September 27 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gasparovic David' if Gasparovic David wins against Heinzl Lukas. This market will resolve to 'Heinzl Lukas' if Heinzl Lukas wins against Gasparovic David. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Gasparovic David and Heinzl Lukas in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for September 27 at 9:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gasparovic David' if Gasparovic David wins against Heinzl Lukas. This market will resolve to 'Heinzl Lukas' if Heinzl Lukas wins against Gasparovic David. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets, allowing the crowd to express its beliefs about the likelihood of each player winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1, where $1 represents a 100% probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Gasparovic vs. Heinzl match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome as determined by this official source after the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in related matches, or even broader trends in the sport, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.