TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point-spread thresholds for Marshall's victory margin over Gardner-Webb in an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of Marshall's dominance in the match. The outcomes are determined by the actual point differential at the end of the game.
The event consists of multiple markets, each corresponding to a specific point-spread threshold by which Marshall must win over Gardner-Webb in their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any given market, if Marshall’s victory margin exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share a common secondary rule set: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have bet on. This structure allows participants to bet on varying degrees of Marshall’s potential dominance, with each threshold offering a different risk-reward profile.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their own predictions. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds depending on the collective wisdom of traders. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and significant differences may signal interesting opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final point spread in the Gardner-Webb vs Marshall game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders' predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants on Kalshi, offering a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for the spread, and traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the final result.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Gardner-Webb vs Marshall game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. The resolution will be based on the official result and will be publicly available following the completion of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Gardner-Webb or Marshall teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game significantly, could also shift the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi or shifts in public perception, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.