TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Liberty in their college football game against Gardner-Webb. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively Liberty might win.
All markets resolve based on Liberty's point differential over Gardner-Webb in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For any market, if Liberty wins by more than the specified point spread, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to buy or sell contracts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Gardner-Webb vs Liberty game, and potentially identify opportunities where predictions diverge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Gardner-Webb vs Liberty game. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by factors like news, injuries, and overall betting sentiment, all of which are incorporated into the collective predictions of traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Gardner-Webb vs Liberty game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports organization. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data and is independent of any individual opinion or interpretation.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Gardner-Webb or Liberty would likely cause price adjustments. Significant shifts in public betting sentiment, as reflected in sportsbook odds, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or team strategies could also impact predictions. Finally, major upsets in other games involving these teams or their conference could indirectly affect the perceived likelihood of different outcomes in this market.