TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:57 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional soccer teams compete in a match where the outcome depends solely on the final score after regulation time. The result will determine whether one team secured a victory in their head-to-head contest.
The market resolves based on the result of the Gangwon vs Incheon Utd professional Korea K League 1 soccer game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Gangwon wins, the "Gangwon" market resolves to Yes; if Incheon Utd wins, the "Incheon Utd" market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can often be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines may differ from those seen here, particularly before significant trading volume occurs. It’s common to see convergence as more information becomes available and more people participate in this market, but discrepancies can persist due to differing opinions and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the K League 1 match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers. The market will then settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding team form, such as key player injuries or suspensions, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to affect playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements from team management or changes in coaching staff might also trigger trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence traders’ perceptions and lead to price fluctuations in this market.