TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts the exact final score of a K-League soccer match between Gangwon FC and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC. Resolution depends on the score at the end of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
In the upcoming K-League game between Gangwon FC and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC match originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Gangwon versus Jeonbuk professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome categories exist: Gangwon winning by more than 2.5 goals, Gangwon winning by more than 1.5 goals, Jeonbuk winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Jeonbuk winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact threshold of victory margin defined in its primary rule. No market considers draws, extra time, or penalty outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's also common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, resulting in potentially more efficient pricing for this market.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs for price discovery. Polymarket attracts a different demographic of traders than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions reflected in the odds. Additionally, the liquidity of this market on each platform—currently $17,495—can influence price volatility and divergence. The differing market structures and fee schedules on each platform also contribute to these price discrepancies, creating opportunities for arbitrage among informed traders.