TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gangwon FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gangwon FC" if Gangwon FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Gangwon FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gangwon FC" if Gangwon FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting volume and risk management, whereas this market responds to new information and trader conviction. Over time, prediction markets tend to incorporate breaking news faster, making them useful benchmarks for comparing against traditional sportsbook pricing on the same event.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where each outcome has a contract that trades between 0 and 1 based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; a contract trading at 0.65 implies a 65 percent chance of that outcome. As traders buy and sell, prices adjust in real time, and the spread between bid and ask prices narrows or widens depending on liquidity and conviction around the first goal.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. No outcome is locked in until the event is complete and the result is publicly verifiable, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative information at settlement.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive changes, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and head-to-head historical patterns. Tactical announcements or lineup confirmations closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price moves, as traders refine their forecasts based on concrete information. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments can also influence early-game dynamics. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may shift trader positioning, particularly if a major analyst or insider shares a contrarian view on which team is likelier to break the deadlock first.