TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.8b
24H VOL:
$104,324,478
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,604,169,862
483,380
Markets across
36,605
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,881
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 1, 12:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Dallas or Golden State will win their women’s professional basketball game scheduled for September 30, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Dallas an 81.0% probability of winning, while Golden State is at 20.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Golden State vs Dallas game, as determined by the official result of that contest. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Golden State wins the originally scheduled match on September 30, 2026, and to No if Dallas wins.
The event resolves based on the winner of the women's professional basketball game between the two teams as originally scheduled. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days of its new date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets can provide a more accurate forecast than traditional methods, as they aggregate a wider range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Golden State vs Dallas game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the market, offering insights into the perceived likelihood of each result.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Golden State vs Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even weather conditions, might also influence the market. Public statements from analysts or key players, and shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.