TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.7b
24H VOL:
$165,751,004
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,818,096,072
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,823,706,654
459,938
Markets across
34,818
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 30, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York Y or Boston will win a professional baseball game scheduled for September 30, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives New York Y a 99.0% probability of winning, while Boston is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Boston wins the game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT.
If Boston wins the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York Y wins the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be set by analysts. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the associated probability, and can lead to tighter spreads.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Boston vs New York game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting the latest developments.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also drive price movements. As the game approaches, real-time updates on team lineups and pre-game analysis will likely have a strong effect on the market, potentially leading to increased volume and volatility.