TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 3:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Gambia wins by 2 or more goals against Iran during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 29, 2026, 15:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 29, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in margins for profit, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from thousands of participants. For this Gambia versus Iran outcome, comparing Limitless odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders view a two-goal Gambian victory as more or less likely than professional oddsmakers do. Such discrepancies may signal undervalued or overvalued probabilities.
The Gambia to win by 2 or more goals vs Iran market resolves on May 30, 2026, following the conclusion of the match. Resolution is determined by the final score: if Gambia wins and scores at least two more goals than Iran, the outcome resolves affirmatively. If Gambia wins by exactly one goal, loses, or draws, the outcome resolves negatively. The resolution is based on the official match result from the governing football authority.
Several catalysts could shift the probability of Gambia winning by 2 or more goals. Team roster announcements, injury updates to key players, and recent form in qualifying matches will influence trader sentiment. Pre-match press conferences and tactical disclosures may reveal strategic changes. Weather conditions at the venue and historical head-to-head performance data could also matter. Betting action from sharp traders or sudden volume spikes often signal new information entering the market. Close to match day, lineup confirmations and last-minute injury news typically drive the most significant price movements on Limitless.