TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gamba Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

Gamba Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki - More Markets

Volume:
$202,700

Gamba

 - Kalshi

Gamba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 5:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gamba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$102,025
N/A
N/A
$78,203
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

V-Varen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,735
N/A
N/A
$34,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,938
N/A
N/A
$26,252
Settled
No
polymarket

V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers a J1 League soccer match between Gamba Ōsaka and V-Varen Nagasaki scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets span moneyline outcomes (Kalshi), point spreads, and over/under goal totals (Polymarket), all resolving based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical primary source (jleague.jp), identical postponement/cancellation protocols, and identical fallback to consensus reporting within 2 hours.Primary resolution logic: Official final score published on jleague.jp (J1 League official statistics); consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution scope: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; no extra time or penalties count.
  • Kalshi moneyline markets (Yes outcomes): Gamba win, Tie, or V-Varen win each resolve Yes if that outcome occurs.
  • Polymarket spread markets: Gamba (-1.5) resolves Yes if Gamba wins by 2+ goals; Gamba (-2.5) resolves Yes if Gamba wins by 3+ goals; V-Varen (-1.5) resolves Yes if V-Varen wins by 2+ goals; V-Varen (-2.5) resolves Yes if V-Varen wins by 3+ goals.
  • Polymarket over/under markets: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 2; O/U 2.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 3; O/U 3.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 4; O/U 4.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 5.
  • Both Teams to Score: Resolves Yes if both teams score at least one goal; No if either team scores zero.
  • Postponement: Markets remain open until game completion.
  • Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50.
  • Incomplete match: Resolution uses official final score at point of incompletion.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Markets remain open and do not resolve until the match is completed on a rescheduled date.
  • Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No, or between competing outcomes).
  • Incomplete Match: If the game starts but does not complete (e.g., abandoned), resolution uses the official final score published by jleague.jp at that point, covering only the play that occurred.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If jleague.jp does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
  • Extra Time or Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play determine all market outcomes.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics from jleague.jp are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets remain open if the game is postponed and resolve only after the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.