TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group tracks which team will score the first goal in the upcoming match between Gamba Ōsaka and Urawa Red Diamonds, scheduled for August 7, 2026. The markets cover three possible outcomes: Gamba Ōsaka scores first, Urawa Red Diamonds scores first, or neither team scores in the allotted time.
In the upcoming match between Gamba Ōsaka and Urawa Red Diamonds, scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gamba Ōsaka" if Gamba Ōsaka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Urawa Red Diamonds" if Urawa Red Diamonds are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
If Red Bull Bragantino SP records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Coritiba FC PR professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Coritiba FC PR records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Coritiba FC PR professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Coritiba FC PR professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through decentralized trader activity, while Kalshi may incorporate different liquidity models or user bases. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to variations in implied chances, especially when news impacts team form or lineup decisions. Differences in volume and participant composition can amplify these gaps, making each platform’s price a distinct signal of market sentiment.
Injuries, lineup announcements, or weather updates could dramatically shift this market as the match approaches. Key moments like star player availability or tactical changes may cause rapid re-pricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Traders will watch pre-game press conferences and injury reports for any hints that sway the odds before the first whistle.