TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka
Volume:
$164,137
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional J1 League soccer match between Gamba Ōsaka and Cerezo Ōsaka scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the outcome (win/draw/loss) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between Polymarket draw market (resolves YES on cancellation) and Polymarket win markets (resolve NO on cancellation). Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
If you hold positions across platforms, note that a full cancellation with no rescheduled match creates opposing outcomes on Polymarket. Verify Kalshi's cancellation policy directly with their support team to avoid settlement surprises.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Gamba win (YES if Gamba wins, NO otherwise, NO if canceled), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise, YES if canceled), Cerezo win (YES if Cerezo wins, NO otherwise, NO if canceled). Resolution source is official J-League statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes: Gamba win, Cerezo win, and Tie. Each resolves YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or fallback resolution clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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