TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Galway United FC and Shelbourne FC, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galway United FC" if Galway United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Galway United FC and Shelbourne FC, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galway United FC" if Galway United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, meaning the implied probability doesn't always add up to 100%. This market, driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, tends to reflect a more 'fair' probability. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market evolves in real-time based on the collective intelligence of participants, potentially identifying discrepancies or overlooked factors that sportsbooks haven’t fully priced in.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Galway United or Shelbourne will score first. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment regarding the match, offering a real-time assessment of the potential first goalscorer.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Galway United vs. Shelbourne match. If no goal is scored during regulation time, the market will resolve based on the outcome of any extra time or penalty shootouts, depending on the competition rules. The official match result will be used to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Galway United or Shelbourne would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also shift traders' expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, could contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements regarding team lineups just before kickoff are also likely to cause volatility in this market.