TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:14 AM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming professional League of Legends match, two teams compete across multiple maps. The outcome depends on which team secures victory on a specific third map during their scheduled encounter.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 3 in the specified Nexus League 2026 match between Galions Sharks and Project Conquerors. If either team wins the map, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures before play begins result in resolution at the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their beliefs, leading to odds that may diverge from traditional bookmakers, especially as new information emerges. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value to informed bettors. This dynamic can reveal insights beyond those captured by conventional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Galions Sharks vs. Project Conquerors match. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome is realized.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Galions Sharks vs. Project Conquerors match. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and authoritative sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 5, 2026. News regarding player injuries or changes in team strategies for either the Galions Sharks or Project Conquerors could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, any public statements from key players or coaches, or shifts in expert analysis, could impact trader sentiment and drive price movements. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess the relative strengths of the teams involved.