TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Champions League match between Galatasaray SK and Liverpool FC scheduled for March 10, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are tracked: Galatasaray leading, Liverpool leading, or a draw after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends on official match statistics from the governing body or credible consensus reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi define identical halftime resolution logic based on the score after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body (UEFA/Champions League organizers); credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 24 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based solely on the match score at the end of the first half (45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time)
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Galatasaray leading (Yes for Polymarket Q1 / Kalshi Q3), Draw (Yes for Polymarket Q3 / Kalshi Q1), Liverpool leading (Yes for Polymarket Q5 / Kalshi Q2)
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve to No
- Full-time result is irrelevant; only the halftime score determines resolution
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all halftime markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and the halftime result is determined
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled date, all three halftime outcome markets resolve to No
- Official Statistics Delay: If the governing body does not publish final halftime statistics within 24 hours after the match conclusion, credible reporting from multiple reputable sports news sources may be used for resolution
- Mutual Exclusivity: Exactly one of the three outcomes (Galatasaray leading, Draw, Liverpool leading) will resolve to Yes; the other two resolve to No
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the completion of the first half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the match scheduled for March 10, 2026. Official confirmation typically available within 24 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.