TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how the scheduled fight between Gabriel Lourenco and Charlie Cleveland will conclude. Outcomes include knockout, submission, decision, or a draw/no contest, reflecting the range of possible ways the match could end.
The market resolves based on the method of finish in the Gabriel Lourenco vs. Charlie Cleveland MMA fight scheduled for September 1, 2026. If the fight concludes via knockout/tKO/disqualification, submission, decision, or ends in a draw/no contest, the market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are evaluated against the official result of the bout as declared by the governing authority overseeing the event. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible finish method. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of Kalshi participants, influenced by analysis, fighter form, and any pre-fight narratives shaping expectations. Volume of $6,865 over 24 hours further indicates market activity levels.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result — based on how Lourenco and Cleveland’s bout concludes — will settle all positions. No additional interpretation is needed beyond what is publicly recorded immediately after the fight.
Key signals such as pre-fight media appearances, training updates, or injury reports could shift this market. Analysts’ debates, betting trends, and any last-minute changes to fight strategy may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, any surge in $6,865 24-hour volume often signals rising interest or reaction to breaking news.