TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 9:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final set score of the professional tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Terence Atmane at the 2026 ATP Eastbourne tournament. Bettors can wager on whether Diallo wins 2-0, Diallo wins 2-1, Atmane wins 2-1, or Atmane wins 2-0.
The market resolves based on the exact set score of the Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmane match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round of 32. Possible outcomes are Diallo 2-0, Diallo 2-1, Atmane 2-1, or Atmane 2-0. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are resolved to fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. For an exact-score market, prediction traders may price outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers, especially for less-obvious scorelines. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where consensus differs from professional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders submit bids and asks for each possible exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any given scoreline reflects the marginal probability that traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As new information surfaces—injury reports, player form, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. Liquidity and trading volume determine how quickly prices respond to fresh signals.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Diallo vs Atmane match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Your position settles based on whether the final score matches the outcome you selected. Resolution typically occurs within hours of match completion, pending confirmation from official match records.
Several catalysts can shift prices before the match. Injury announcements or lineup changes for either player can alter expectations of match intensity and likely scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and court conditions may prompt traders to reprrice certain outcomes. Media coverage, expert predictions, and betting-market activity on related markets can also influence sentiment. As match day nears, late-breaking news or odds movement on other platforms may trigger repricing as traders hedge or adjust exposure.