TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 2:20 PM EST
Kalshi
The event features a competitive League of Legends match in the Prime League 1st Division, where two teams will battle in an scheduled game. The outcome depends on the total number of maps played during the match, determining whether the game extends beyond a certain length. This competition highlights strategic gameplay and team performance in a professional esports setting.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the Prime League 1st Division 2026: G2 NORD vs. Kaufland Hangry Knights League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds incorporate real-time betting data and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and information flow. Traders on Kalshi may react faster to new data than sportsbooks, leading to variations in implied probabilities. The volume of $3,278 shows strong engagement, but keep in mind that prediction market prices are driven by trader consensus, not bookmaker adjustments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants about the likely number of maps, adjusting dynamically as new data emerges and trader positions change throughout the event’s duration.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of maps played will be compared against the market’s settled outcome, closing all positions based on the actual result reported after the match concludes.
Several key developments could shift this market before Aug 11, 2026. Performance trends in recent matches, player injuries, or strategic changes by either team may influence trader expectations. Media coverage highlighting team strengths or weaknesses can also impact odds. As the event date approaches, updated polling data or expert analyses may cause rapid shifts. Watch for any last-minute roster changes or venue conditions that could affect the map count, as these factors often drive significant movement in trader positioning.