TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 6:39 AM EST
Kalshi
G2 Esports and LYON compete in the third map of their League of Legends match at the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 on July 10, 2026. The winner of this individual map will determine the outcome of this market.
Map 3 resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the individual map in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 match between G2 Esports and LYON scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have financial skin in the game. This market's odds represent what traders believe will happen, potentially offering an alternative perspective to conventional sportsbook lines. Both sources can be valuable for understanding different market views on the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective trading activity and belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As new orders flow in, prices adjust dynamically to balance supply and demand. Traders can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, with the current bid-ask spread indicating the tightness of the market at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of Map 3 in the G2 Esports versus LYON matchup. Traders should monitor official esports sources and tournament announcements as the date approaches to stay informed on any schedule changes or relevant developments that could affect settlement timing.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before this market resolves. Recent team performance, roster changes, player injuries or roster updates, and head-to-head historical records may influence expectations. Tournament bracket announcements, map pool selections, and pre-match analysis from esports commentators can also drive trading activity. Additionally, live match results from earlier maps in the series could provide new information that traders incorporate into their positions, potentially causing significant price movements as the event unfolds.