TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
What will be the highest daily view count?
Above 6M
- Kalshi
Above 6M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 25, 12:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
These markets track whether a specific artist will achieve various levels of global daily view counts on YouTube within a defined week. Each outcome represents a different threshold of views that, if surpassed at any point during the period, determines the result. The verification process relies on YouTube's publicly available chart data.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on whether the artist "Future" achieves specified global daily view count thresholds on YouTube during the week of September 21–27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count benchmark (ranging from above 4 million to above 8 million views). Resolution occurs if, at any moment during the specified week, the global daily view count for the artist meets or exceeds the threshold defined for that particular market. View counts are evaluated using data accessed via YouTube Charts, with "Global" selected as the location filter and values retrieved from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. These markets and related products are explicitly not endorsed by YouTube; references to YouTube charts or branding are used descriptively and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the market operator. The focus is strictly on verifying whether the artist’s YouTube performance surpasses each predefined view count milestone within the stated timeframe.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially outperforming individual predictions, especially when analysts have biases or incomplete information. However, discrepancies can arise if analysts possess specialized knowledge not reflected in the broader market sentiment. It's important to note that analyst forecasts are often point estimates, while this market represents a probability distribution across possible outcomes, offering a more nuanced view of potential results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different daily view counts. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that view count occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels – indicates the strength of conviction behind those prices and the potential for price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count recorded on PredictionHero between September 21, 2026, and September 27, 2026. The exact view count will be determined by PredictionHero’s official analytics data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding new features or marketing campaigns on PredictionHero could influence expected user activity. Unexpected news events impacting general internet usage or social media trends could also play a role. Furthermore, any shifts in the popularity of PredictionHero’s content or the platform’s user base would likely impact trading activity and price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.
