TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:12h:40m
Will Future have above 5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?
$
Description
These markets track whether a specific artist will achieve various levels of global daily view counts on YouTube over a defined week. Each outcome corresponds to a different threshold of daily views that must be surpassed at any point during the period. The markets use a standardized method to determine the view counts for resolution.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on whether the artist achieves a specified threshold of global daily views on YouTube at any point during the period from October 26, 2026, to November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different numerical threshold (ranging from above 4 million to above 8 million views). View counts are determined using values displayed from a New York IP address when accessing YouTube Charts, with "Global" selected as the location. All markets explicitly state that they are not endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts or associated marks are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement. The consistent secondary rules across all markets ensure uniform methodology for verifying outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or expert predictions, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating unforeseen events. While analysts might focus on established trends, traders in this market react to real-time data and subtle signals, leading to potentially divergent views on the likely highest daily view count during the specified period. It’s a fascinating way to gauge the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus individual expertise.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the highest daily view count likely to occur. The current top outcome isn’t clearly defined, but the market’s pricing reflects the collective assessment of traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count between October 26, 2026, and November 1, 2026, will be determined based on publicly available data from PredictionHero’s analytics. The outcome will be the highest number of views recorded on any single day within that timeframe, as officially reported by the platform. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen contract matched the actual highest daily view count.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding new features or content on PredictionHero, successful marketing campaigns driving user engagement, or unexpected viral trends could all lead to increased view counts. Conversely, technical issues impacting site performance or negative publicity could decrease traffic. Any news impacting PredictionHero’s user base or platform visibility is likely to influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding price movements.
