TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 6.5M
- Kalshi
Above 6.5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of a music artist's YouTube views over a specific week. It examines whether the artist's daily view count surpasses various thresholds during the period, reflecting audience engagement and content reach on the platform.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether the artist 'Future' achieves specific global daily view count thresholds on YouTube during the period from August 31, 2026, to September 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 4 million to above 8 million views. The resolution of each market depends on whether, at any point during the specified week, the global daily views for 'Future' exceed the respective threshold. View counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address, ensuring consistency in measurement. It is important to note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube. The markets are designed to allow participants to speculate on the potential reach and popularity of the artist's content during the defined timeframe.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook by incorporating real-time trader behavior and sentiment. While analysts may issue broad projections based on historical data or qualitative assessments, the market price synthesizes a wide range of inputs, including unexpected news or trends. This can lead to divergence, especially when new information emerges that analysts have not yet incorporated into their models.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning day will be the single date between August 31 and September 6, 2026 that records the highest confirmed view count in the entertainment category, as measured by authoritative sources.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 10, 2026. Major entertainment releases, viral social-media trends, high-profile award shows, or unexpected celebrity appearances may boost views on particular days. Conversely, technical issues or competing events could suppress viewership. Traders will watch news feeds, social engagement metrics, and promotional activity closely, as any surge in buzz can rapidly alter market probabilities.
