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Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any African Nation
kalshi

Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any African Nation

Volume:
$52,248

Quarterfinals

 - Kalshi

Quarterfinals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 6:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,050
N/A
N/A
$8,302
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,647
N/A
N/A
$8,222
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,176
N/A
N/A
$6,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,642
N/A
N/A
$6,744
Settled
No
kalshi

Losing the Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,990
N/A
N/A
$1,902
Settled
No
kalshi

Winning the Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,912
N/A
N/A
$1,481
Settled
No
kalshi

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$831
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks the furthest stage that any African nation will reach at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. On Kalshi, the probability that an African team advances no further than the Round of 16 stands at 37.0%, while the probability that the furthest stage is the Quarterfinals is also 37.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official results of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with the outcome settled based on which CAF-affiliated team achieves the deepest tournament run. Watch the group stage performances in late 2026 to gauge whether African teams can break through to the later knockout rounds.

Kalshi

This event comprises seven separate markets tracking the furthest tournament stage advanced to by any African (CAF) nation during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. The stages are: Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, losing the Final, and winning the Final. Settlement is based on the highest stage reached by any African nation; if multiple African nations reach the same stage, that stage is the outcome. If an African nation withdraws, forfeits, or is disqualified, their furthest stage is determined by the last stage they successfully completed. Notably, if an African nation loses in the Semifinals, their furthest stage is considered the Semifinals regardless of whether they win the third-place match. The markets are mutually exclusive—only one will resolve to Yes, corresponding to the actual furthest stage achieved by an African nation.

Frequently asked questions

The Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any African Nation dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this sports prediction market. It displays the current probability of each outcome—such as whether any African nation will advance beyond the Round of 32—alongside $52,248 in total group volume and $11,437 in 24-hour trading activity. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect trader sentiment and new information, helping you monitor how market expectations shift as tournament dates approach and matches unfold.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets price outcomes based on continuous trader activity and belief updates. For the Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any African Nation event, prediction market participants may incorporate late-breaking team news, injury reports, and tactical shifts faster than sportsbooks update their lines, creating opportunities for informed traders to identify value.

The Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any African Nation market resolves on Jul 19, 2026, after the tournament concludes and the final stage reached by any African nation is confirmed. Resolution depends on the official tournament results and which African team advances furthest in the competition. Once the tournament ends and all African nations have been eliminated or the tournament concludes, the outcome is determined and the market settles accordingly based on the verified final stage achieved.

Key catalysts for Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any African Nation include African team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, pre-tournament friendlies and form, and draw results that determine group composition and knockout matchups. Coaching changes, tactical shifts, and performance in qualifying rounds all influence trader expectations. As the tournament progresses, each African nation's match results—wins, losses, and goal differentials—will directly impact odds, with strong early performances boosting chances of deeper advancement and early eliminations reducing them.