TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which esports team will secure victory on the third map of an upcoming League of Legends match. The outcome hinges on the competitive performance of the two teams during that specific segment of play. It reflects the strategic battles and skill disparities that define professional esports contests.
The market resolves based on the result of map 3 in the specified CBLOL 2026 match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids. If FURIA Esports wins the map, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if RED Canids wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of related intellectual property.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders could potentially profit by betting on the more favorable odds on either side. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards what many believe is the 'true' probability of an event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and how much slippage a trader might experience when executing a trade. Currently, the most active contracts are those related to the likely winner of Map 3.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the FURIA Esports versus RED Canids match. The platform will rely on established esports results databases and tournament organizers to determine the winner. Once the official results are available, the market will settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either FURIA Esports or RED Canids could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier maps in the series, if applicable, will also be a significant factor. Major upsets in other concurrent esports events could also create broader shifts in market confidence. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and potentially trigger further price movements as traders react to the new information.