TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming professional League of Legends match, two teams compete against each other over several maps. The outcome depends on which team secures victory on a specific third map during their confrontation.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win map 3 of the specified match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies into their pricing. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team winning Map 3. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome wins Map 3 of the FURIA vs. LOS match.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the FURIA Esports versus LOS match, as determined by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which team won the map, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner. The final result will be sourced from official tournament data and widely available match results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either FURIA Esports or LOS could shift expectations. In-game performance during earlier maps in the series could also impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning Map 3. Unexpected announcements about map bans or tactical adjustments might also cause price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely affect trading activity and the price of this market.