TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of Map 2 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026 Valorant match between FURIA Esports and Leviatán Esports scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. The market resolves based on which team wins the individual map.
Resolution is determined by the official result of Map 2 as published by the governing body or tournament organizer. If the match or map is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match or map is cancelled before play begins, or if a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in that map, the market resolves to fair market price. However, if a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction through continuous price discovery, which can lead to sharper or earlier signals than fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement, though each serves different purposes for bettors and analysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's probability, with higher prices indicating stronger trader conviction. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing prices to move in real time. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news, team performance updates, or other factors relevant to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of Map 2 in the FURIA versus Leviatán match, determined by the official match records and broadcast data. Traders should monitor the event closely as the date approaches to stay informed of any schedule changes or other developments that could affect timing. Once the map concludes and the winner is officially confirmed, the market will settle accordingly.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Recent team performance, roster changes, or injury announcements affecting either squad may trigger significant repricing. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and strategic breakdowns could influence trader positioning. Map-specific factors—such as which map is being played, historical head-to-head records on that particular map, and team preparation—often drive late-stage market movement. Odds may also shift if one team is perceived as gaining momentum or if new information about player form or team morale emerges in the days leading up to the match.