TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a competitive Rainbow Six Siege match between FURIA Esports and Black Dragons e-Sports, scheduled for September 20, 2026. The resolution depends on which team secures a victory in their South America League Stage 2 2026 match. If either team wins the league stage match as the designated winner for their respective market, the corresponding market resolves accordingly.
If FURIA Esports wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: FURIA Esports vs. Black Dragons e-Sports R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Black Dragons e-Sports wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: FURIA Esports vs. Black Dragons e-Sports R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis and aim to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of either team winning, you’ll likely see the odds on Kalshi move in response. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived chance of it occurring, while increased selling pressure will lower the price. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the CS2 match between FURIA Esports and Black Dragons e-Sports, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which team emerged victorious and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either FURIA Esports or Black Dragons e-Sports could significantly impact the market. Unexpected announcements about map picks or vetoes could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, general sentiment within the CS2 community, reflected in social media and analyst predictions, can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams could also move this market as traders reassess their probabilities.