TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$2,421
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC match scheduled for March 4, 2026 in the English Premier League. Markets track whether Fulham leads, West Ham leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory: it resolves to Yes regardless of halftime outcome (Fulham lead, West Ham lead, or draw). Polymarket provides three separate binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable and incompatible with standard prediction market semantics.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's halftime market. It violates basic market logic by resolving Yes for all possible outcomes. Use Polymarket's three binary markets instead to express directional or draw views on the halftime result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering Yes. Kalshi states: If Fulham wins first half, Yes. If tie occurs, Yes. If West Ham wins first half, Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes, rendering it useless for price discovery.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: West Ham leading at halftime (Yes/No), Fulham leading at halftime (Yes/No), Draw at halftime (Yes/No). Each market resolves based on the specific halftime outcome, with postponement rules and cancellation fallback to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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