Why might Polymarket and Predict prices differ on this market?

Fulham FC vs. VfB Stuttgart - First Team to Score? Odds & Prediction Markets

Description

This event group tracks the first team to score in the upcoming match between Fulham FC and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The markets resolve based on whether Fulham FC, VfB Stuttgart, or neither team scores first in the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution logic for determining the first team to score in the match between Fulham FC and VfB Stuttgart.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to credible reporting if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match

Core resolution logic:

Resolve to the team that scores the first goal at any point in the match
Resolve to "Neither" if no goals are scored
Consider goals scored in any format (e.g., regular time, stoppage time, extra time)

Edge cases & clarifications:

Postponement: Market remains open until the match is completed
Cancellation: Resolves to "Neither" if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game

Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes, based on official statistics or credible reporting if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Fulham FC and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fulham FC" if Fulham FC are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). If neither team scores in the match (regardless of format), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market considers goals scored at any point in the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Fulham FC and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fulham FC" if Fulham FC are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). This market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart" if VfB Stuttgart are the first to score in the match (regardless of format). If neither team scores in the match (regardless of format), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market considers goals scored at any point in the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more European fans who favor Stuttgart, while the other has an international audience leaning toward Fulham. Additionally, varying trading volumes — $0 across all venues versus $0 in the last day — can amplify small shifts into larger price gaps. These dynamics often lead to distinct probability curves even for the same underlying question.

Fulham FC vs. VfB Stuttgart - First Team to Score

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Markets

Fulham FC

FUL

VfB Stuttgart

VFB

Neither