Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 21, 2026, with identical scope and primary resolution source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Fulham win, Burnley win, or draw.
Exactly one outcome will occur; exactly one corresponding market across the platforms will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market (Polymarket) resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's tie market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES, both Fulham and Burnley win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's tie market resolves YES.
Official Statistics Delay: If official Premier League statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Premier League announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 21, 2026, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.