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$134.1b

24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
polymarket
kalshi

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Volume:
$45,278

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 8:39 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,714
N/A
N/A
$6,844
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,519
N/A
N/A
$3,076
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$766
N/A
N/A
$766
Settled
No
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$702
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for August 16, 2026. The markets differ in how they define a winning outcome based on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Threshold Divergence - Kalshi requires a run differential to resolve, while Polymarket resolves on any win.Hero tip: Traders should be aware that a one-run victory for either team will resolve Polymarket but remain open on Kalshi. Always check the specific run differential requirements for each platform before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team if they win, regardless of run differential. "If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to 'Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks'. If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, this market will resolve to 'Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles'"
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes only if the specified team wins by a run differential greater than 1.5 or 2.5 runs. "If the Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 1.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 16 at 12:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The markets collectively evaluate different run-differential thresholds for determining the outcome of the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks game scheduled for August 16, 2026. Each market specifies a unique winning condition based on the margin of victory—either team winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 runs. All markets apply to the same official game time and date, and all include a standard secondary disclaimer clarifying that Kalsci holds no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners. Resolution depends solely on the actual run differential at the conclusion of the specified game.