TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions?

Volume:
$58,226

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 7:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,917
N/A
N/A
$22,267
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,723
N/A
N/A
$10,158
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a single baseball game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Saitama Seibu Lions, scheduled for September 22nd. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a make-up game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies resolution based on *which* team wins.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is a broader 'either team wins' bet, while Polymarket requires correctly predicting the winner. Adjust your trading strategy accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team (Hawks or Lions) or a 50-50 split for ties/cancellations. "If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the Hawks or Lions win. "If Fukuoka Hawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 22 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Saitama Seibu Lions wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the NPB championship market across multiple prediction platforms, providing a consensus view of probabilities. Currently, the aggregate volume for this market is $58,226, with $54,490 traded in the last 24 hours. We are monitoring Polymarket and Kalshi to provide a comprehensive overview of where traders are placing their bets on the outcome of the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks versus Saitama Seibu Lions competition. This allows for a more informed understanding of expectations than looking at any single platform in isolation.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals directly wagering on the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and platform fees should be considered.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries, unexpected changes in team performance, or significant news regarding team strategy could all shift probabilities. Major upsets in preliminary games or changes in weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Any developments that alter perceptions of each team's chances of winning the championship are likely to be reflected in the market price. Monitoring news sources and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.