TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
kalshi
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

Volume:
$88,963

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 8:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,058
N/A
N/A
$22,371
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54,866
N/A
N/A
$45,972
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Saitama Seibu Lions scheduled for September 4, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch - Polymarket resolves to specific outcomes while Kalshi only resolves Yes/No for win scenarios, creating unresolvable contradictionsHero tip: Do not hedge positions across these platforms. Polymarket provides complete outcome coverage. Kalshi market is fundamentally broken for this event type and cannot be reliably resolved

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks", "Saitama Seibu Lions", or 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Explicitly handles all game states
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins, creating logical contradiction as it cannot distinguish between outcomes or handle ties/cancellations
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 4 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Saitama Seibu Lions wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.