TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes
polymarket
kalshi

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes

Volume:
$255,217

Fukuoka Hawks

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 4:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$123,974
N/A
N/A
$96,414
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,782
N/A
N/A
$96,309
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Orix Buffaloes scheduled for August 22 at 1:00 AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between team-name resolution (Polymarket) and binary win indicator (Kalshi)Hero tip: Do not trade these markets as equivalent. Polymarket requires monitoring for tie/cancellation scenarios that Kalshi ignores. Kalshi will only resolve on confirmed wins regardless of game status.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name for wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations/postponements. Quote: If game is canceled entirely...this market will resolve 50-50
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution for any win condition regardless of game status. Quote: If Orix Buffaloes wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 22 at 1:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the Orix Buffaloes if they win the game originally scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. It resolves to Yes for the Fukuoka Hawks if they win the same game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, as long as it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Hawks vs. Buffaloes matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the contest odds and total volume of $255,217. It displays consensus views and cross-platform differences, letting users monitor where Polymarket and Kalshi stand relative to each other. This view helps participants spot trends and shifts ahead of the game, with all metrics updating live as bets flow into the market.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user base, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a particular team, while the other could reflect a more global or neutral audience. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and trading rules, which influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or betting activity.