TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes?

Volume:
$235,270

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 8:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$120,659
N/A
N/A
$68,323
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$112,352
N/A
N/A
$52,964
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and Orix Buffaloes scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution tied to the official winner.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Hawks win or Buffaloes win) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with a clear tie-breaker rule.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution criteria are logically incoherent—both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with valid resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome: resolves to Hawks team name if Hawks win, Buffaloes team name if Buffaloes win. Tie/cancellation/postponement without makeup = 50-50 split. Source: Official NPB information or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both 'Buffaloes win = Yes' AND 'Hawks win = Yes', leaving no valid No outcome. This violates binary market structure and makes resolution impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 23 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price per official rules. Tied games resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Hawks vs. Buffaloes matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time consensus on the game outcome. Both venues enable participants to buy and sell shares tied to the result, with prices reflecting the collective probability assessment across the prediction market ecosystem. The cross-platform view helps traders spot pricing inefficiencies and track how sentiment shifts as game day approaches. Total volume across venues provides insight into market depth and trader conviction on this matchup.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trading among participants with real money at stake. Prediction market prices often reflect longer-term consensus and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or sharp traders identify value. Many analysts view prediction market pricing as a complementary signal to sportsbook odds, particularly for events where public betting patterns may skew traditional lines.

Key injury announcements, roster changes, or weather conditions closer to game day can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and lineup adjustments often trigger repricing as new information becomes public. Betting action from sharp traders or large position shifts on either platform may signal conviction and move prices. Media coverage, expert commentary, and any late-breaking news about player availability or team strategy can also influence market dynamics in the final days before this matchup.