TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes?

Volume:
$16,521

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes

 - Polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:54 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,504
N/A
N/A
$4,468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,388
N/A
N/A
$1,141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,365
N/A
N/A
$1,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$740
N/A
N/A
$733
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and Orix Buffaloes scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Polymarket offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on combined run totals (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different settlement dimensions: Polymarket resolves on match winner/outcome, while Kalshi resolves on combined run totals across four thresholds. Additionally, Kalshi contains a classification error labeling NPB as college baseball.Hero tip: Treat these as independent markets. A Hawks win does not guarantee any specific run total, and vice versa. Confirm Kalshi's game classification with the platform before committing capital, as the college baseball label is factually incorrect for NPB.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market resolving to Hawks win, Buffaloes win, or 50-50 (tie/cancellation). Source: official NPB information and credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined runs (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, 11.5 thresholds). Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold. Incorrectly labeled as college baseball game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 22 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total runs scored by both teams in the Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks game on July 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Resolution occurs at four distinct run thresholds: 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, and 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, with resolution to Yes if the combined team score exceeds the specified threshold. The official game result as recorded by the governing league determines the final run total used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Hawks vs. Buffaloes matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on game outcomes. Both venues enable participants to buy and sell shares tied to the result of this matchup, with prices reflecting the collective forecast of thousands of traders. The cross-platform view helps you spot consensus and identify where the two markets diverge, giving a fuller picture of how the prediction community assesses this contest before it concludes.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ professional oddsmakers and adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets rely on supply and demand from traders who stake real capital on outcomes. This market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many independent participants rather than a single institution's view. Prediction market prices often converge toward sportsbook odds as the event approaches, though they may diverge significantly earlier due to differences in trader composition, information access, and risk appetite.

Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting star players, recent team performance trends, head-to-head historical matchups, and weather conditions on game day. Lineup changes, managerial decisions, and momentum shifts during the season can also sway trader sentiment. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster moves often triggers sharp price swings. As the event date approaches, accumulating real-time data—such as warm-up reports or late-breaking roster confirmations—typically drives final repricing before this market locks in.