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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters?

Volume:
$119,982

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 8:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,075
N/A
N/A
$35,208
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,598
N/A
N/A
$28,598
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Nippon Ham Fighters. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split resolution if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market is for a game scheduled in 2026, while Polymarket's is for a game on September 9th of the current year. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable in the context of this group.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market as it is for a future event and likely has no liquidity. Focus solely on the Polymarket market for the current game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of the game scheduled for September 9th. If Hawks win, Hawks win. If Fighters win, Fighters win. Tie/Cancellation resolves 50-50. "In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 9 at 5:00AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins a game scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. "If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins..." or "If Fukuoka Hawks wins..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 9 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate probabilities of various outcomes for the NPB championship. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one team winning, with a combined volume of $119,982. This allows traders to view the collective wisdom of the crowd and compare predictions from different sources. The dashboard provides a unified view of the NPB championship market, consolidating data from multiple prediction markets to offer a comprehensive assessment of potential results. The current 24-hour volume is $113,620.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their own beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially offer more competitive pricing, prediction markets can dynamically adjust as new information emerges and more traders participate, potentially offering more accurate probabilities over time.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries or changes in team performance during the regular season would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected upsets in playoff games or changes in managerial strategies could also move the market. News regarding team morale, coaching changes, or even weather conditions impacting game schedules could also introduce volatility. Any significant development affecting the perceived chances of either team winning the championship has the potential to impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of this market.