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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters
kalshi
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

Volume:
$270,846

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 8:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$162,648
N/A
N/A
$116,906
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,392
N/A
N/A
$54,016
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Nippon Ham Fighters scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi treats both possible outcomes as 'Yes', making it impossible to resolve distinct team victories while Polymarket requires specific team identificationHero tip: Do not trade Kalshi market — it is fundamentally unresolvable as written. Use Polymarket for accurate team-outcome resolution. If trading Kalshi, treat it as a binary 'Any team wins' market, not a team-specific outcome market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team names ('Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks' or 'Nippon Ham Fighters') or 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Key quote: 'If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks"'
  • Kalshi: Treats both possible team wins as 'Yes', creating logical contradiction. Key quote: 'If Fukuoka Hawks wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins... then the market resolves to Yes'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open until the rescheduled game finishes, as long as it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tied game results in a 50/50 resolution. The platform has no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Hawks vs. Fighters matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Nippon Ham Fighters. It displays current chances, volume of $270,846, and 24-hour volume of $257,406, letting users see consensus views and compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users evaluate this market.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting from fans of a particular team, skewing its implied probability. Additionally, each platform’s fee structure and order flow can influence how quickly prices adjust, leading to temporary mismatches between the two markets.