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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Chiba Lotte Marines?

Volume:
$204,375

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111,025
N/A
N/A
$83,404
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$82,931
N/A
N/A
$55,459
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks and the Chiba Lotte Marines. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split resolution if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies the winning team.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is less informative, effectively asking 'Will either team win?'. Focus on Polymarket for a more precise prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team: "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks" or "Chiba Lotte Marines". "If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Chiba Lotte Marines wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 13 at 12:30AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Japan NPB game between Chiba Lotte Marines and Fukuoka Hawks scheduled for September 13, 2026. If Chiba Lotte Marines wins, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Fukuoka Hawks’ market resolves to No, and vice versa if Fukuoka Hawks wins. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve to a 50/50 split. Should the game be postponed or delayed but rescheduled within two days, the market remains open until the conclusion of the rescheduled game. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate probabilities of various outcomes for the NPB championship. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one team winning, with a combined volume of $204,375. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare the implied probabilities from different sources. The dashboard provides a unified view of the NPB championship market, consolidating data from multiple prediction markets to offer a more comprehensive understanding of potential results. This is particularly useful for assessing overall sentiment and identifying potential discrepancies in the short_topic.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more diverse range of opinions than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on pre-season expectations, this market will dynamically adjust as the season progresses and more data becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. The current volume of $204,375 indicates active trading and belief formation.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance, and major trades are all potential catalysts. A dominant performance by either Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks or Chiba Lotte Marines in the early stages of the playoffs would likely shift probabilities. Significant news regarding team strategies or managerial changes could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances affecting the playoff schedule could introduce volatility. Monitoring these events will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on shifts in the market’s assessment.