TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
polymarket
kalshi

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

Volume:
$192,723

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 6:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$120,785
N/A
N/A
$86,724
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,544
N/A
N/A
$43,987
Settled
No
polymarket

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers outcomes from two distinct NPB baseball matchups involving the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. One market references a Hawks vs. Lions game scheduled for August 9, 2026, while the other references a Hawks vs. Marines game scheduled for August 13, 2026. The markets differ in resolution criteria and scope.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental event mismatch - Kalshi references Hawks vs. Lions game while Polymarket references Hawks vs. Marines gameHero tip: These markets resolve based on completely different games. Do not assume correlation between them. Verify each contract's specific event details before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions game scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks if they win the NPB game against Chiba Lotte Marines scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET. Resolves to Chiba Lotte Marines if they win. Remains open if postponed, resolves 50-50 if canceled or tie
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. If the Fukuoka Hawks win the game, their market resolves to Yes and the Saitama Seibu Lions’ market resolves to No, and vice versa if Saitama Seibu Lions wins. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original schedule, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve at a 50/50 split. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks the NPB championship race by aggregating real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team winning the championship. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $192,723 and recent 24-hour volume of $190,679, giving you a consensus view of market sentiment across venues like Polymarket and Kalshi.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans who skew probabilities toward a specific team, while the other could reflect international traders with a different risk assessment. Volume disparities also play a role — higher volume typically tightens the spread.