TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Fukuoka Hawks and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many runs separate the winning and losing teams at the end of the scheduled match. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.
The event covers a single baseball match between the Fukuoka Hawks and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for September 20, 2026. Resolution depends entirely on the run differential between the two teams at the conclusion of the game. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, Fukuoka Hawks winning by over 1.5 runs, and Fukuoka Hawks winning by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific threshold that is met, with no overlapping or combined outcomes considered. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final official result of the Fukuoka Hawks versus Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles game, specifically determining whether the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win by over 1.5 runs. The final score will be used to determine the winning side of the spread, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or performance analysis from sports analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause noticeable price swings, as can broader trends in baseball betting markets. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.