TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 7:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between the Fukuoka Hawks and Saitama Seibu Lions scheduled for July 25, 2026 will be tracked for total combined runs scored by both teams. Bettors can wager on whether the combined run total will exceed various thresholds throughout the game.
Resolution is determined by the combined run total scored by both teams in the Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions game on July 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The event features progressive run total thresholds: Yes outcomes occur if combined runs exceed 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs respectively. Each threshold represents an independent market condition, with higher thresholds requiring greater offensive output from both teams combined.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding, which determines the current implied probability for each total runs outcome. The platform calculates these prices based on order book depth and recent trading activity, reflecting collective trader assessment of team strengths, recent performance metrics, and any game-specific factors like venue advantages or umpire tendencies.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over/under result is determined by the official total runs scored by both teams combined in the regulated match, as reflected in authoritative sports news sources and league records.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute roster changes, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and starting pitcher announcements. Injuries to high-impact batters or pitchers, as well as umpire assignments known for generous or strict strike zones, may also influence trader sentiment. Any pre-game momentum shifts reported in sports media can cause rapid probability adjustments.