TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 4:25 AM EST
Kalshi
The contest evaluates scoring margins to determine winners by specific run differences. Outcomes depend entirely on which team wins and by how many runs, without regard to the game's total scoring volume. Each scenario reflects varying degrees of dominance by either competitor.
All markets resolve based on the winning margin in the Fukuoka Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game scheduled for August 30, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Two markets concern the Orix Buffaloes winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, while the other two cover the Fukuoka Hawks winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual margin meets or exceeds the specified threshold for that outcome; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The secondary rule states Kalshi holds no official ties to the governing league and does not own associated trademarks or brand names.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of the Fukuoka Hawks winning by over 1.5 runs. The current implied chance reflects the collective assessment of participants, influenced by recent performance, pitcher matchups, and other game-specific factors. Volume of $28,730 indicates the level of interest and liquidity in the market.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and run differential from the game will determine whether the Fukuoka Hawks have won by more or less than 1.5 runs, settling all positions accordingly based on the official result.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers could shift this market as they affect expected scoring. Strong performances in prior matchups or recent form may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute news impacting either team’s lineup or strategy has the potential to move odds significantly before the game begins.