TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 8:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This assesses the victory margin between the Fukuoka Hawks and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters in their scheduled contest. The exact run gap determines which conditions are met.
The market resolves based on the run differential in the Japan NPB game between the Fukuoka Hawks and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters scheduled for Sep 2, 2026. If the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. If the Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets are resolved independently based on the game's final score.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect collective trader sentiment, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant dynamics and information inputs. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and public betting patterns, this market prices in real time according to trader expectations and available data, potentially offering alternative insights.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability. The market’s price adjusts continuously based on order flow and trader sentiment, without external influence from other venues. This organic pricing mechanism captures the community’s collective view of the Hawks’ chances of covering the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, matching the parameters defined for this market’s calculation. No further interpretation beyond widely accepted public records is applied.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and recent performance trends can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant shifts in media analysis or fan expectations may influence how traders price the probability of the Hawks covering the spread as the game approaches.