TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 4:10 AM EST
Kalshi
The result hinges on the margin of victory for either team. Different markets require varying degrees of dominance in the final score to determine their outcomes.
Markets resolve according to the winning margin in the specified Japan NPB game. If the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs, the respective market resolves to Yes. The game is scheduled for August 18, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Kalshi emphasizes it holds no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the way traders price in probabilities and potential outcomes. While sportsbooks set a fixed spread, prediction markets let participants adjust their bets based on new data, injuries, or performance trends. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on market sentiment. Comparing the two gives a view of where the public and informed traders see value, sometimes highlighting discrepancies worth watching.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game score and any adjustments from governing sports authorities, ensuring an accurate and transparent close. Traders can watch for final announcements and confirmed statistics that determine whether the spread covers or not, closing the market definitively at that point.