TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fukuoka Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines: Spread
kalshi

Who will win Fukuoka Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines?

Volume:
$10,778

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,626
N/A
N/A
$7,286
Settled
No
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,413
N/A
N/A
$1,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$179
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

Fukuoka Hawks and Chiba Lotte Marines will face off in a strategic baseball match. The outcome will hinge on which team can not only win but also achieve the necessary run differential to satisfy various market conditions.

Kalshi

Resolution is contingent on the Japan NPB game between the Fukuoka Hawks and Chiba Lotte Marines scheduled for August 26, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Four primary rules apply: if the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 2.5 runs, if they win by more than 1.5 runs, if the Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 1.5 runs, or if they win by more than 2.5 runs. Meeting any of these conditions resolves the respective market to 'Yes.' Secondary rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, crowd-sourced view of probabilities compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on expert analysis and historical trends, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from participants, which can lead to tighter spreads or sharper adjustments as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, reflected in the current implied probability. The spread value is set based on the best available bids and asks, with volume of $10,778 indicating overall interest. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges about team performance and game conditions.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be calculated based on official game statistics and announced shortly after the match concludes, closing all positions at that point.

Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting the game, and recent head-to-head performance trends could all shift trader expectations and move this market. Any unexpected developments or shifts in team form leading up to Aug 26, 2026 may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess their positions.