TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
Fukuoka Hawks and Chiba Lotte Marines will face off in a strategic baseball match. The outcome will hinge on which team can not only win but also achieve the necessary run differential to satisfy various market conditions.
Resolution is contingent on the Japan NPB game between the Fukuoka Hawks and Chiba Lotte Marines scheduled for August 26, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Four primary rules apply: if the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 2.5 runs, if they win by more than 1.5 runs, if the Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 1.5 runs, or if they win by more than 2.5 runs. Meeting any of these conditions resolves the respective market to 'Yes.' Secondary rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, reflected in the current implied probability. The spread value is set based on the best available bids and asks, with volume of $10,778 indicating overall interest. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges about team performance and game conditions.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be calculated based on official game statistics and announced shortly after the match concludes, closing all positions at that point.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting the game, and recent head-to-head performance trends could all shift trader expectations and move this market. Any unexpected developments or shifts in team form leading up to Aug 26, 2026 may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess their positions.